Director of the Institute of philosophy, sociology and law of NAS RA Gevorg POGHOSIAN. Illustration: golos. amKarta Turkey in the year 2050. Source: George Friedman. The next 100 years. A forecast for the 21st century
In the long historical perspective you can see a pretty disturbing trend: over 100-150 years of Armenian ethnicity, vytalkivalsâ of the Middle East, the Caucasus region, said in an interview with the Yerevan newspaper “Golos Armenii” sociologist, Director of the Institute of philosophy, sociology and law of NAS RA Gevorg POGHOSIAN.
“It is the customary residence of the Armenian nation and territory of Western and Eastern Armenia, Iran, Iraq, Syria, Georgia, Azerbaijan, etc. from Georgia, many Armenians left Azerbaijan completely left, Turkey has remained a small community. The same can be said about Iraq, Lebanon, etc-the entire armânonaselennyj region ceased to be such. Church monuments of culture of remained, but the media culture, religion has little. Because of the fact that somewhere in Cilicia living man who is a Kurd, but genetic memory of him suggests that he is Armenian? This is not migration and depopulation, “said Pogosian.
With regard to the actual migration from Armenia, the expert cited the example of Russia, where attempts to correct the trend of decreasing population. “Russia every year loses one million population. And Russians understand perfectly well that by 2025, they will remain at 17 million less. As a result, a law was passed, which in Russia began to attract migrants to the housing and employment. And, incidentally, many of our fellow citizens thus emigrated to Russia. I am not arguing that this way the Russians choose their problems, but they at least make an attempt. These include and serious measures to increase the birth rate, “said the Minister, stressing that Armenia was not taken similar measures.
According to him, labour migration from Armenia and practiced in the Soviet years, since the number of working-age population exceed the needs of the economy of the Armenian SSR to 50-60 thousand people. Boghossian has its reasons why the Armenian authorities seriously are not relevant to this issue. The expert believes that such States as Armenia, very profitable to export labour outside the country. First, thus discharges social tensions, and the unemployed mass creates many problems in the form of criminality, marginalization, deviant behavior. Another factor-the transfers, which annually to Armenia fully poured $ -2 billion.
“The third factor is political in nature. It is clear that the main contingent èmigriruûŝij from Armenia, is contingent, active in all respects, including the political. Leaving, he takes them away and political potential, one that clearly would not vote for the power of imuŝuû party. Because if a person leaves their country, then he is unhappy and dissatisfied electorate will vote in favour of the current power. These are the people who are not merely complain or cursing the power in the kitchen, but may take to the streets. The departure of a politically active electorate again resets the social tension. So everything is simple: to answer the question why the extreme concern of the public, professionals, journalists, the issue of migration, has literally threatening national security, the authorities should realize, idle, who benefit from this situation, “said Pogosian.
Summing up, he recalled that the United States published futures cards representing the world in 2050-2080. And on these maps is not Armenia-almost the entire region is under the protectorate of Turkey.
